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Johnson Grasps for Republican Votes to Pass Budget Plan

Speaker Mike Johnson worked on Tuesday to find the votes to squeeze the G.O.P. budget resolution through the House, facing potential defections from centrist Republicans fearing the plan would tee up deep Medicaid cuts and conservatives who want to slash federal spending even more deeply.

Mr. Johnson announced an evening vote on the budget outline, whose approval would clear the way to enact the major elements of President Trump’s domestic agenda, but it was not clear whether he would be able to muster the votes to adopt it.

At a news conference at the Capitol on Tuesday, Mr. Johnson said Republican leaders were “very close” to winning the support they needed, but he signaled the vote could slip to later in the week.

“There may be a vote tonight,” he said. “There might not be.”

Mr. Trump began calling holdout members hours ahead of the vote, G.O.P. leaders and lawmakers said, in an effort to whip support for the blueprint. Mr. Trump has repeatedly said that he prefers the House budget plan, which loads tax cuts and spending reductions into what he calls “one big, beautiful bill,” to a narrower version passed by the Senate last week that is meant to be paired with another measure later this year.

Still, it was unclear if Mr. Trump’s entreaties were working. Representative Jeff Van Drew of New Jersey, who has expressed concern about possible Medicaid cuts, said he spoke to Mr. Trump on Tuesday but was still deciding whether he would vote to adopt the plan. He said Mr. Trump shared his concerns about cutting Medicaid.

It was a familiar conundrum for Mr. Johnson, who as speaker is working to quell discontent from both flanks of his fractious conference, all while dealing with a razor-thin majority that will accommodate almost no defections. If all members were present and voting, and House Democrats remain unified in their opposition to the plan, Mr. Johnson could afford to lose no more than a single Republican vote, and a handful of members have already said they are against the measure.

Approval of the budget plan is a crucial first step for Republicans to smooth the way through Congress for a massive fiscal package using a process called reconciliation, which allows such bills to steer clear of a filibuster and pass the Senate on a simple majority vote.

The House blueprint calls for legislation that would add roughly $3 trillion to the deficit over a decade, while teeing up deep cuts in spending on health care and food programs for low-income people. That would help pay for $4.5 trillion in tax cuts. It also calls for raising the debt limit by $4 trillion.

At least five conservatives on Tuesday morning said they planned to vote against it.

“It’s insane,” said Representative Thomas Massie of Kentucky. “We’re going to increase the deficit with this. Why would I vote for that? You can’t cut taxes without cutting spending, and they’re not really cutting spending.”

At the same time, Republicans in swing-seat districts have said they are uncomfortable approving a plan that could lead to major cuts to Medicaid and food stamps. The budget blueprint does not specify precise cuts, but it lays out broad spending targets by committee that dictate where Republicans must find the money to finance their tax cuts.

For example, the plan instructs the Energy and Commerce Committee, which oversees Medicaid and Medicare, to come up with at least $880 billion in cuts. It would not be possible to find anything approaching that amount of money without slicing deeply into at least one of those programs.

“I’m still making my point all the way to the end about the need to protect the services that are important to my district,” Representative Juan Ciscomani of Arizona said as he left a closed-door meeting of Republicans on Tuesday morning. “Obviously, this is only the beginning. This is where the real fight actually begins to protect the services that I’ve been fighting for, while also delivering on the promise of slashing down the size of government.”

Republican leaders in recent days have huddled with those skeptical lawmakers and tried to assure them that they will not ultimately be asked to approve deep cuts to popular programs. They have argued the House urgently needs to approve the blueprint — which does not carry the force of law — in order to move the reconciliation process forward.

“The question before us now is, what will move us in the right direction: failure, or a partial success?” said Representative Dusty Johnson, a South Dakota Republican who leads the centrist Main Street Caucus. “I think we’re going to come together around the idea that failure is the wrong option, and a partial success is far preferable.”

Andrew Duehren and Maya C. Miller contributed reporting.

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